Bitcoin is starting this week under pressure, trading well below its October all‑time high as post‑halving fatigue, ETF outflows, and Fed uncertainty weigh on sentiment. This creates a classic environment for mean‑reversion trades and tactical swing setups that your ZNJ EA users can exploit, especially if volatility spikes around macro data later in the week.
Bitcoin market snapshot this week
Bitcoin is trading in the high‑80k to low‑90k range after falling sharply from peaks above 120k in October 2025, leaving price roughly 30% off the highs. The move comes as the broader crypto market digests heavy selling, weaker ETF demand, and a more cautious macro backdrop into year‑end.
Institutional participation through spot ETFs remains significant but inflows have cooled, allowing price to drift back toward the average cost basis of many fund holders. At the same time, bitcoin’s correlation to equities has weakened, with stocks holding gains while BTC posts a small negative return year‑to‑date.
Key drivers and macro themes
The market is still in the second year of the post‑halving cycle, historically a more volatile and less directional phase. Analysts note that the classic four‑year pattern is being reshaped by ETF flows and institutional liquidity, which can dampen volatility in some periods but also accelerate selloffs when outflows hit.
Macro‑wise, traders are focused on the Federal Reserve’s final 2025 meeting and messaging about cuts in 2026, which will influence real yields and risk appetite across crypto. Concerns around slower ETF inflows, cautious long‑term holders, and the possibility of a deeper “post‑halving chill” are keeping sentiment mixed even as long‑run forecasts for bitcoin remain constructive.
Technical outlook and important levels
Short‑term analysis for the December 8–12 week points to a bearish bias after bitcoin broke down from a previous bullish channel and slipped under key moving averages. Some forecasts highlight resistance in the mid‑90k zone, where any corrective bounce could stall before sellers attempt to push price toward lower support levels around the mid‑60k area.
On the upside, a strong squeeze above the 100k–105k resistance band would invalidate the immediate bearish scenario and reopen the path toward the prior 120k region. Until that happens, volatility pockets around resistance and support zones favor active strategies such as short‑term swings and EA‑driven scalps on clear momentum signals.
Trading ideas for ZNJ EA users
For algorithmic traders using ZNJ EA or similar systems, this week’s environment suits rule‑based mean‑reversion and breakout filters. Sideways‑to‑down price action with clear resistance zones allows EAs to fade overextended bounces toward resistance while taking profit aggressively on quick reversals. When volatility compresses near support, breakout modes can be activated to capture impulsive moves triggered by macro headlines or ETF flow surprises.
Risk management should stay conservative while bitcoin trades near the lower end of its recent range. Position sizing around 1–2% per trade, volatility‑adjusted stops, and daily max‑drawdown limits help protect capital during potentially sharp Fed‑week swings. For your blog audience, this is an ideal time to highlight how ZNJ EA filters news‑driven noise and executes consistently based on pre‑tested parameters instead of emotion.

